What’s the risk of dying from a fast-spreading COVID-19 variant? (www.nature.com)

Deaths linked to the B.1.1.7 variant are rising, but questions remain about what is causing them.

The news is sobering, but complicated. Scientists have released the data behind a British government warning last week that the fast-spreading SARS-CoV-2 variant B.1.1.7 increases the risk of dying from COVID-19 compared with previous variants. But some scientists caution that the latest study — like the government warning — is preliminary and still does not indicate whether the variant is more deadly or is just spreading faster and so reaching greater numbers of vulnerable people.

The latest findings are concerning, but to draw conclusions, “more work needs to be done”, says Muge Cevik, a public-health researcher at the University of St Andrews, who is based in Edinburgh, UK.

Last week, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson said preliminary data from several research groups suggested that B.1.1.7, which was first identified in the United Kingdom, was spreading more quickly than previous variants and was also associated with a higher risk of death. On 3 February, researchers at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM) released an analysis1 of some of those data, which suggests that the risk of dying is around 35% higher for people who are confirmed to be infected with the new variant.

In real terms, that means that for men aged 70–84, the number who are likely to die from COVID-19 increases from roughly 5% for those who test positive for the older variant, to more than 6% for those confirmed to be infected with B.1.1.7, according to the analysis. For men aged 85 or over, the risk of dying increases from about 17% to nearly 22% for those confirmed to be infected with the new variant. The analysis has not been peer reviewed.

Other groups are also studying whether B.1.1.7 and other new SARS-CoV-2 variants are more deadly than earlier versions of the virus….[   ]

What do you think?

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Uncle Chubby
11 months ago

Notice how the “It has mutated again!” card can be played at any time, whenever the public seems to be getting bored or disgusted with being pushed around by thugs in government. Eventually the mutation theme will wear thin and it’ll be “A brand new horrible virus!” or something similar.

Firepole
11 months ago

Zero.
A cold virus mutating.. Whoda thunkit?

No Comment
11 months ago

Whatever your government and MSM order you to believe. Those who question Newspeak go to reeducation camp

popuken
11 months ago

This is why the covid vaccines are a joke. This virus mutates so rapidly and randomly, it is impossible to vaccinate and protect against all variants.

feign
11 months ago

Why are these variants referred to by country but you cannot call the virus the China Virus?

EdLego
11 months ago

It will never stop mutating, as long as you live. That is what viruses do. Maybe it’s time to STFU about it!

Nico Norris
11 months ago

Less than the potential of dying under this illegitimate totalitarian government’s tyranny.

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